The dossier reconstructs an Italian base directly attributable to space activities potentially entering Bromo of roughly 4,700–5,300 people. The range includes TAS Italia, the Italian component of Telespazio and related ALTEC, e-GEOS and Leonardo Space Division activities. It is not a consolidated figure published by the future entity and should be treated as a reconstruction to be validated, not as an official headcount.
For exploration, the model uses a prudent functional share of 25–35%, equivalent to around 1,175–1,855 direct FTE. Applying a supply-chain sensitivity of 0.6–0.9 indirect FTE per direct FTE, total exploration exposure rises to roughly 1,880–3,525 FTE-equivalents. Here again, ‘exposed’ does not mean ‘at risk of loss’; it measures the volume of activity influenced by common portfolio, programme and workshare decisions.
Sensitivity is not uniform. Engineering services, single-customer SMEs, highly specialised teams and suppliers with dedicated tooling have less capacity to absorb reallocation. The national baseline should therefore be segmented by function and dependency, otherwise an aggregate figure can conceal very different concentrations of risk.
National exposure defines what should be monitored, not a redundancy number; the key question is which activities have credible alternatives and which do not.
